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SALT LAKE CITY(BUSINESS WIRE)
Leavitt Partners today released 12 potential health reform scenarios
based on the impending outcome of the 2012 U.S. elections. The
scenarios, which are a product of a tool called Health Reform
Bracketology, depict what could happen to public entitlement programs,
insurance market reforms, insurance distribution and payment and
delivery reform under three distinct election scenarios: Democrat
gridlock, Republican gridlock and Republican sweep. The scenarios
provide valuable health care intelligence that will help health care
leaders navigate the significant uncertainty that exists in American
health care.
An already unclear health care environment is made even more uncertain
by the 2012 elections,? said Leavitt Partners CEO Rich McKeown. Health
Reform Bracketology breaks the uncertainty down into manageable
assumptions and implications about the future. Leavitt Partners does not
know, nor does the firm advocate, any particular future. Our firm does
identify possible futures and analyze what they mean to the business of
health care. The results are instructive and provide a window to the
future of health care.?
The analysis, available at www.HealthReformBracketology.com,
is organized in a simple user interface patterned after the brackets
used in a sporting competition. It allows users to select from these
election outcomes:
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Democrat gridlock Democrats maintain the White House and
Senate; Republicans maintain the House.
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Republican gridlock Republicans win the White House and
maintain the House; Democrats maintain the Senate.
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Republican sweep Republicans win the White House, maintain
the House and win the Senate.
Then within each election scenario there is a breakdown of how the
election results may impact public entitlement programs, insurance
market reforms, insurance distribution and payment and delivery reform.
For each category Leavitt Partners provides an assumption and then
presents applicable implications.
Leavitt Partners developed the analysis under the consultation of the
Leavitt Partners FuturePanel, a diverse group of health care thought
leaders who have shaped and continue to guide the future of American
health care (see list of members at the end of this release). The panel
is not unanimous in their opinions. This diversity of thought is
reflected in the Health Reform Bracketology findings, as well as survey
data included in the analysis. The result is a very measured, pragmatic
and balanced analysis of what the future could hold.
For example, under the Democrat gridlock scenario (Democrat in the White
House and split Congress) the Health Reform Bracketology analysis
expects the administration to move forward with health insurance market
regulations that limit insurance underwriting, such as rate banding and
community rating. Alternatively, if Republicans achieve a sweep and win
the White House and a majority in Congress, then Republicans will look
to replace guaranteed issue with high-risk pool development or other
incentives for opting in to insurance coverage. These and dozens of
other implications have been vetted and are presented in the analysis.
Leavitt Partners augments the analysis with an anonymous survey of
industry leaders, congressional members and hill staffers, current and
former administration officials and policy experts from differing
ideological perspectives for their own predictions of the future. Called
LP Health Watch, this coach's poll? adds valuable perspective to the
scenarios.
You can view the full content on the Web at www.HealthReformBracketology.com.
The analysis and surveys will be updated monthly between now and the
November election.
About FuturePanel?
FuturePanel is an authoritative group of health care thought leaders who
inform, refine and guide the health care intelligence shared by Leavitt
Partners. FuturePanel members include former senior executives from the
Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, national leaders in health
information technology, veterans of state-level health care policy,
clinical experts and economic and legal professionals. Together, they
provide Leavitt Partners with perspective and commentary from many of
the people who have shaped and continue to guide the future of America's
health care system.
FuturePanel members include:
Michael O. Leavitt, former Health and Human Services (HHS)
secretary and FuturePanel chairperson
Joel Ario, former
director of the Office of Insurance Exchanges, HHS
Robin
Arnold-Williams, former secretary of the Washington State Department
of Social and Health Services
Thomas Barker, former acting
general counsel for HHS
Dr. David Blumenthal, former
national coordinator for health information technology
Charlene
Frizzera, former acting administrator for the Centers for Medicare
and Medicaid Services (CMS)
Dr. James Madara, executive vice
president and chief medical officer of the American Medical Association
Karen
Milgate, former deputy director for the Center for Strategic
Planning and CMS
Dr. John Nelson, past-president of the
American Medical Association and LP chief medical officer
Ray
Scheppach, former executive director of the National Governors
Association
Dr. Barry Straube, former chief medical officer
for CMS
Ronald Williams, former chairman and CEO of Aetna
Inc.
Susan Winckler, former chief of staff for the Food and
Drug Administration
Vince Ventimiglia, former assistant
secretary for legislation, HHS
About Health Reform Bracketology?
Health Reform Bracketology is a fun and instructive tool designed by
Leavitt Partners that illustrates potential future scenarios in American
health care. Referenced by media outlets such as The New York Times and
Kaiser Health News, Health Reform Bracketology is patterned after
the bracketology craze that exists in sports. Leavitt Partners
identifies various U.S. election scenarios, makes a series of
assumptions and then presents the implications in simple and
easy-to-understand terms. The scenarios are developed in consultation
with the Leavitt Partners FuturePanel, a diverse group of health care
thought leaders. In addition, surveys are circulated among
health-industry thought leaders to gauge their perspective on potential
outcomes. Learn more at www.HealthReformBracketology.com.
About Leavitt Partners
Leavitt Partners is a health care intelligence business. Through its
member-based collaboration called Health Intelligence Partners? and
direct services to clients, the consulting firm provides the best
available window to the future of American health care. For more
information visit www.LeavittPartners.com
or call (801) 538-5082.
Leavitt Partners
Natalie Gochnour, 801-509-1198
natalie@LeavittPartners.com
Source: Leavitt Partners
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